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Workshop on Mathematical Models for the
Study of the Infection Dynamics of Emergent and Re-emergent
Diseases in Humans
(22 - 26 Oct 2007)
Organizing Committee
· Confirmed Visitors
· Overview
· Activities · Contacts
Venue: IMS Auditorium
Monday, 22 Oct 2007 |
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08:30am - 08:45am |
Registration |
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08:45am - 09:00am |
Opening Remarks
Paul Ananth Tambyah, National
University of Singapore |
09:00am
- 09:45am |
Introduction to developments in mathematical modelling
Eduardo Massad, University of
São Paulo, Brazil |
09:45am -
10:30am |
The tempo and mode of
evolution of mosquito transposable elements as revealed
by molecular phylogenies
Claudio Struchiner, PROCC,
FIOCRUZ, RIo de Janeiro, Brazil |
10:30am - 11:00am |
--- Coffee Break --- |
11:00am - 11:45am |
The continued mystery of
regular, old, annual flu
Nina Fefferman, Rutgers
University and Tufts University, USA |
11:45am - 01:30pm |
--- Lunch Break --- |
01:30pm - 02:15pm |
Vector-borne disease: research questions
Eduardo Massad, University of
São Paulo, Brazil |
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02:15pm - 02:45pm |
--- Coffee Break --- |
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End of Day 1 |
Tuesday, 23 Oct 2007 |
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09:00am
- 09:15am |
Registration |
09:15am
- 10:00am |
Modelling of antibiotic resistance: R0 for MRSA and
options for control
Martinus Bootsma, Utrecht
University, The Netherlands |
10:00am -
10:45am |
Bacterial antibiotic resistance surveillance in
Singapore
Li Yang Hsu, National
University of Singapore |
10:45am - 11:00am |
--- Coffee Break --- |
11:00am - 11:45am |
Vector borne diseases: Singapore dengue epidemiology
Eng Eong Ooi, National
University of Singapore |
11:45am - 12:30pm |
Pandemic influenza
forecasting: does past performance indicate future
performance? PPT
Julian Wei-Tze Tang, Chinese University of Hong Kong |
12:30pm - 01:30pm |
--- Lunch Break --- |
01:30pm - 02:15pm |
Four examples of Bayesian
methods in the analysis of infectious disease data
Ben Cooper, Health Protection
Agency, UK |
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02:15pm - 02:45pm |
--- Coffee Break --- |
02:45pm - 03:30pm |
The relationship between antibiotic use and antibiotic resistance; Questions more than answers....
Paul Ananth Tambyah, National
University of Singapore |
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03:30pm - 04:15pm |
Breakout groups
Martinus Bootsma, Utrecht
University, The Netherlands
Paul Ananth Tambyah, National University of Singapore |
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End of Day 2 |
Wednesday, 24 Oct 2007 |
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09:00am
- 09:15am |
Registration |
09:15am
- 10:00am |
Large-scale simulations of the
host response to immune challenge
Cliburn Chan, Duke University,
USA |
10:00am -
10:45am |
The quest
for the epidemiological foundations of STI models:
insights from resistant gonorrhea in the UK
Mark Chen, Tan Tock Seng
Hospital, Singapore |
10:45am - 11:15am |
--- Coffee Break --- |
11:15am - 12:00nn |
Dynamic
network modeling and its impact on disease propagation
Kah Loon Ng, National
University of Singapore |
12:00nn - 01:30pm |
--- Lunch Break --- |
01:30pm - 02:15pm |
Time evolution of disease spread on networks with degree
heterogeneity
Babak Pourbohloul, University
of British Columbia, Canada |
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02:15pm - 02:45pm |
--- Coffee Break --- |
02:45pm - 03:30pm |
Is there a seasonal pattern for infectious diseases, including acute respiratory illnesses, in Singapore?
Li Wei Ang, Ministry of Health, Singapore |
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End of Day 3 |
Thursday, 25 Oct 2007 |
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09:00am
- 09:15am |
Registration |
09:15am
- 10:00am |
Translating statistics
and mathematics into health protection: Hong Kong’s
baptism by fire since 1997
Gabriel Leung, The
University of Hong Kong |
10:00am -
10:45am |
Singapore modelling of pandemic flu
Vernon Lee, Public Health
Physician, Singapore |
10:45am - 11:15am |
--- Coffee Break --- |
11:15am - 12:00nn |
A gravity model for metapopulation dynamics of infectious diseases
Yingcun Xia, National
University of Singapore |
12:00nn - 01:30pm |
--- Lunch Break --- |
01:30pm - 02:15pm |
Statistical methods for
estimating the incubation distribution of SARS
Ben Cowling, The University of
Hong Kong |
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02:15pm - 02:45pm |
--- Coffee Break --- |
02:45pm - 03:30pm |
Comparing hospital and
non-hospital rates of infection of SARS in Singapore
Anthony Kuk, National
University of Singapore |
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03:30pm - 04:15pm |
Strategies for controlling
antiviral resistance during the next influenza pandemic
Joseph Wu, The University of Hong
Kong |
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04:15pm
- 05:00pm |
Transmission trees as causal models of epidemics
Jacco Wallinga, National
Institutes of Public Health and the Environment, The
Netherlands |
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05:00pm
- 05:45pm |
Breakout groups
Eduardo Massad, University of
São Paulo, Brazil
Gabriel Leung, The University of Hong Kong |
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End of Day 4 |
Friday, 26 Oct 2007 |
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09:00am
- 09:15am |
Registration |
09:15am
- 10:00am |
Why were we unable to predict the 2007 Dengue outbreak in Singapore?
Eduardo Massad, University of
São Paulo, Brazil |
10:00am -
10:45am |
Random effects model: An application to spatial epidemiology
Arul Earnest, The University of Sydney, Australia |
10:45am - 11:15am |
--- Coffee Break --- |
11:15am - 12:00nn |
The transmission of influenza in households
Steven Riley, The University of
Hong Kong |
12:00nn - 01:30pm |
--- Lunch Break --- |
01:30pm - 02:15pm |
Individual-based models of disease spread in a
nosocomial setting
Joc Cing Tay, Nanyang
Technological University, Singapore
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02:15pm - 02:45pm |
--- Coffee Break --- |
02:45pm - 03:30pm |
Where do we go from here?
Anthony Kuk, National University of Singapore |
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End of Day 5 |
Organizing Committee
· Confirmed Visitors
· Overview
· Activities · Contacts
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