Mathematical Modeling of Infectious Diseases:
Dynamics and Control
(15 Aug - 9 Oct 2005)

Jointly organized by Institute for Mathematical Sciences, National University of Singapore
and Regional Emerging Diseases Intervention (REDI) Centre, Singapore

Organizing Committee ·  Confirmed Visitors · Overview · Activities · Membership Application

Confirmed Visitors

(Partial list; as at 30 Aug 2005)

NAME & AFFILIATION

PERIOD OF VISIT

TENTATIVE TITLE OF TALK

OVERSEAS VISITORS

   

Niels Gunther Becker
Australian National University, Australia
Niels.Becker@anu.edu.au

4 - 9 Sep 2005

1) How does mass immunisation affect disease incidence?
2) Immunisation strategies for a community of households
3) Immunisation with a partially effective vaccine
4) Preparedness for an emerging infection
5) Vaccination strategies when infection is dose dependent
    Presentation slides (PPT): 1..., 2..., 3..., 4...

Shannon N. Bennett
University of Hawaii at Manoa, USA
sbennett@hawaii.edu

11 - 16 Sep 2005

Long-term phylogenetic history of dengue from Puerto Rico demonstrates selection and population dynamics in sequence evolution

Tom Britton
Stockholm University, Sweden

4 - 9 Sep 2005

Epidemics in heterogeneous communities and their vaccination policies

Carlos Castillo-Chavez
Arizona State University, USA
chavez@math.asu.edu

22 - 27 Aug 2005

1) The role of crossimmunity on influenza dynamics
    Presentation slides: PPT...
2) Models for communicable diseases
    Papers: ZIP...
    Presentation slides (PPT): 1..., 2..., 3..., 4...

Ben Cooper
Health Protection Agency, UK
ben.cooper@hpa.org.uk

25 - 30 Sep 2005

Modeling healthcare associated infections

Daryl Daley
Australian National University, Australia
daryl@maths.anu.edu.au

14 - 25 Aug 2005

Heterogeneity in epidemic modeling

Hans-Peter Duerr
Universitaet Tuebingen, Germany
hans-peter.duerr@uni-tuebingen.de

21 - 27 Aug 2005

Interventions in epidemics of influenza-like diseases - insights from computer simulations

Arul Earnest
University of Sydney, Australia
arul_earnest@hotmail.com

22 - 27 Sep 2005

Experiences of a medical statistician working in a SARS-designated hospital
   Presentation slides: PPT...

Zhilan Feng
Purdue University, USA
zfeng@math.purdue.edu

27 - 29 Sep 2005

Timely identification of control strategies for emerging infectious diseases

Azra Ghani
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, UK
azra.ghani@lshtm.ac.uk

14 - 19 Aug 2005

Sexual networks and the evolution of sexually-transmitted pathogens: N. gonorrhoeae as an example

Kathryn Anne Glass
Australian National University, Australia
kathryn.glass@anu.edu.au

4 - 9 Sep 2005

Controlling international spread and monitoring incidence of a newly-emerged infectious disease

John W Glasser
US CDC Atlanta, USA
jwg3@cdc.gov

26 Sep - 1 Oct 2005

1) Timely identification of control strategies for emerging infectious diseases
2) En route to reliable policymaking tools: models as hypotheses
3) 1997 Measles outbreak in São Paulo, Brazil: evaluation of vaccination strategies via mathematical modeling
4) Mathematical modeling of Rubella and Congenital Rubella Syndrome
5) Rubella in Romania: an evaluation of possible vaccination strategies via mathematical modeling
6) Implications of an explanation for secular patterns in reported Pertussis in the United States
7) Mathematical epidemiology of Varicella and Herpes Zoster
8) Re-introduction of smallpox into dynamic, socially-structured and spatially-distributed populations

Bryan Grenfell
Pennsylvania State University, USA
btg2@psu.edu

21 - 26 Aug 2005

Waves, sparks and herd immunity in the dynamics of infectious diseases

Herbert W Hethcote
University of Iowa, USA
herbert-hethcote@uiowa.edu

13 - 20 Aug 2005

1) The basic epidemiology models I: models and expressions for Ro
    Lecture notes: PDF...
2) The basic epidemiology models II: parameter estimation and applications
    Lecture notes: PDF...
3) Epidemiology models with variable population size
    Lecture notes: PDF...
4) Age structured epidemiology models and expressions for Ro
    Lecture notes: PDF...
5) Simulations of rubella vaccination strategies in China

Ying-Hen Hsieh
National Chung Hsing University, Taiwan
hsieh@amath.nchu.edu.tw

25 Sep - 1 Oct 2005

Modeling of infectious diseases and its implications for public health policy-making

Valerie Isham
University of College London, UK
valerie@stats.ucl.ac.uk

21 - 26 Aug 2005

The role of stochasticity in epidemic models

Yuguo Li
University of Hong Kong, China
liyg@hku.hk

27 - 29 Sep 2005

Back-calculation and environmental modeling for the 2003 SARS epidemic and developing effective engineering control methods
    Lecture notes: PDF...

Natalia B. Mantilla-Beniers
University of Cambridge, UK
natalia@zoo.cam.ac.uk

14 - 20 Aug 2005

Determinants and consequences of seasonality in measles dynamics

Eduardo Massad
University of Sao Paulo, Brazil
edmassad@dim.fm.usp.br

4 - 18 Sep 2005

Imperfect HIV vaccines and the evolution of virulence

Ingemar Nåsell
Royal Institute of Technology, Sweden
ingemar@math.kth.se

13 - 20 Aug 2005

The critical community size of the classic endemic model

Oliver George Pybus
University of Oxford, UK
oliver.pybus@zoo.ox.ac.uk

10 - 16 Sep 2005

1) Phylodynamics: unifying the evolutionary and epidemiological dynamics of viral pathogens
2) Evolutionary analysis of viral genomes 1: quantifying genetic diversity
3) Evolutionary analysis of viral genomes 2: phylogenies for epidemiologists
4) Evolutionary analysis of viral genomes 3: coalescent models
5) Evolutionary analysis of viral genomes 4: natural selection & viral adaptation
    Presentation slides (PDF): 1..., 2..., 3..., 4...

Steven Riley
University of Hong Kong, China
steven.riley@hku.hk

14 - 19 Aug 2005

Smallpox transmission and control: spatial dynamics in the mainland United Kingdom

Yiming Shao
National Center for AIDS/STD Control and Prevention and
Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, China
yshao@bbn.cn

14 - 15 Sep 2005

HIV molecular evolution and its impact on AIDS epidemic in China

Ziv Shkedy
Limburgs Universitair Centrum (LUC), Belgium
ziv.shkedy@luc.ac.be

3 - 17 Sep 2005

1) Model based estimates of long-terms persistence of induced hepatitis A antibodies
2) Estimating the force of infection from serological data

Chris Skelly
Institute for the Environment, Brunel University, UK (formerly with the Insitute of Environmental Science & Research Limited, New Zealand)
chris.skelly@brunel.ac.uk

25 Sep - 1 Oct 2005

SituationESP: simulation tools for disease surveillance groups

Jacco Wallinga
National Institutes of Public Health
and the Environment, Netherland
jacco.wallinga@rivm.nl

11 - 17 Sep 2005

From infection cycles to pathogen phylogeny

Ping Yan
Centre for Infectious Disease Prevention and Control Public Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, Canada
Ping_Yan@phac-aspc.gc.ca

25 Sep - 5 Oct 2005

Some probability distributions and underlying stochastic mechansims in infectious disease transmission modelling
    Paper: PDF...

Paul Yip
University of Hong Kong, China
sfpyip@hku.hk

4 - 8 Sep 2005

A chain multinomial model for estimating real time fatality rate of a disease with application to severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS)

GRADUATE STUDENT

   

Yik-Ying Teo
Oxford University, UK
teo@stats.ox.ac.uk

9 - 17 Sep 2005
(tentative)

Marker selection for population structure in genetic association studies

Lin Yang
University of Hong Kong, China
lyang@hkusua.hku.hk

20 - 26 Aug 2005

 

LOCAL VISITORS

   

Bruce Adlam
Ministry of Health, Singapore
bruce_adlam@moh.gov.sg

26 - 30 Sep 2005

 

Mark Chen
Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore
mark_chen@pacific.net.sg

24 Aug - 2 Oct 2005

Recent changes in the local epidemiology of dengue: the view from outside
   Presentation slides: PDF

Angela Chow
Ministry of Health, Singapore
angela_chow@moh.gov.sg

5 - 9 Sep 2005

 

Tim Hart
Environmental Health Institute, Singapore
tim_hart@nea.gov.sg

12 - 16 Sep 2005

Characterization of dengue viruses from Singapore at the Environmental Health Institute

Vernon Jian Ming Lee
Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore
vernon_lee_jm@ttsh.com.sg

26 - 30 Sep 2005

Economic outcomes of influenza pandemic stockpiling strategies in Singapore 

Christina Liew
Environmental Health Institute, Singapore
christina_liew@nea.gov.sg

5 - 9 Sep 2005

Some entomological factors in dengue dynamics in Singapore

Anthony Kuk
National University of Singapore
stakuka@nus.edu.sg

15 Aug - 9 Oct 2005

 

Stefan Ma
Ministry of Health, Singapore
Stefan_MA@moh.gov.sg

15 Aug - 9 Oct 2005

 

Steven Ooi
Ministry of Health, Singapore
ooi_peng_lim@moh.gov.sg

26 - 30 Sep 2005

Epidemic dengue: recrudescence of an old enemy

Lawrence Walter Stanton
Genome Institute of Singapore
stantonl@gis.a-star.edu.sg

12 - 16 Sep 2005

Conducting genomic research on SARS during and after the outbreak

Paul Anantharajah Tambyah
National University of Singapore
mdcpat@nus.edu.sg

5 - 9 Sep 2005

The relationship between antibiotic use and antibiotic resistance - why we need the help of our mathematicians

Ye Tun
Ministry of Health, Singapore
ye_tun@moh.gov.sg

5 - 9 Sep 2005

Sexually transmitted infections : An early warning indicator for HIV spread in low prevalence countries  

Yingcun Xia
National University of Singapore
staxyc@nus.edu.sg

15 Aug - 9 Oct 2005

 

Eric Yap
DSO National Laboratories, Singapore
ericyap@dso.org.sg

12 - 16 Sep 2005

The biological significance of tandem repeats in the bacterial genomes

 

Organizing Committee ·  Confirmed Visitors · Overview · Activities · Membership Application