Back to Program Overview

 

 
 
  Registration form
    MSWord | PDF | PS

Membership application form
    MSWord | PDF | PS

Enquiries

      General

      Scientific aspects

 
 

 

 

 

Mathematical Modeling of Infectious Diseases:
Dynamics and Control
(15 Aug - 9 Oct 2005)

Jointly organized by Institute for Mathematical Sciences, National University of Singapore and Regional Emerging Diseases Intervention (REDI) Centre, Singapore

Organizing Committee · Confirmed Visitors · Overview · Activities · Membership Application

Schedule of Talks and Tutorials

New development of the SEIR models for the transmission of infectious diseases
(15 - 19 Aug 2005)

Venue:

IMS Auditorium
Institute for Mathematical Sciences, NUS
3 Prince George's Park
Singapore 118402
Getting to IMS...

Monday, 15 Aug 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Keynote Lecture: Simulations of rubella vaccination strategies in China
Herbert W Hethcote, University of Iowa, USA

11:00am - 02:00pm

--- Break ---

02:00pm - 03:00pm

Heterogeneity in epidemic modeling
Daryl Daley, Australian National University, Australia

Tuesday, 16 Aug 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Tutorial: The basic epidemiology models I: models and expressions for Ro (Lecture 1)
Herbert W Hethcote, University of Iowa, USA
    Lecture notes: PDF...

11:00am - 02:00pm

--- Break ---

02:00pm - 03:00pm

The critical community size of the classic endemic model
Ingemar Nåsell, Royal Institute of Technology, Sweden

Wednesday, 17 Aug 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Tutorial: The basic epidemiology models II: parameter estimation and applications (Lecture 2)
Herbert W Hethcote, University of Iowa, USA
    Lecture notes: PDF...

11:00am - 02:00pm

--- Break ---

02:00pm - 03:00pm

Determinants and consequences of seasonality in measles dynamics
Natalia B. Mantilla-Beniers, University of Cambridge, UK

03:00pm - 03:45pm

--- Break ---

03:45pm - 04:45pm

Sexual networks and the evolution of sexually-transmitted pathogens: N. gonorrhoeae as an example
Azra Ghani, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine

Thursday, 18 Aug 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Tutorial: Epidemiology models with variable population size (Lecture 3)
Herbert W Hethcote, University of Iowa, USA
    Lecture notes: PDF...

Friday, 19 Aug 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Tutorial: Age structured epidemiology models and expressions for Ro (Lecture 4)
Herbert W Hethcote, University of Iowa, USA
    Lecture notes: PDF...

11:00am - 11:30am

--- Break ---

11:30am - 12:30pm

Smallpox transmission and control: spatial dynamics in the mainland United Kingdom
Steven Riley, University of Hong Kong, China

« Back...

 

Influenza-like diseases
(22 - 26 Aug 2005)

Venue:

IMS Auditorium
Institute for Mathematical Sciences, NUS
3 Prince George's Park
Singapore 118402
Getting to IMS...

Monday, 22 Aug 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Keynote Lecture: The role of crossimmunity on influenza dynamics
Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Arizona State University, USA
    Papers: ZIP...  Presentation slides: PPT...

11:00am - 11:30am

--- Break ---

11:30am - 12:30pm

Waves, sparks and herd immunity in the dynamics of infectious diseases
Bryan Grenfell, Pennsylvania State University, USA

Tuesday, 23 Aug 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Tutorial: Models for communicable diseases (Lecture 1)
Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Arizona State University, USA
    Papers: ZIP... Presentation slides: PPT...

11:00am - 11:30am

--- Break ---

11:30am - 12:30pm

Interventions in epidemics of influenza-like diseases - insights from computer simulations
Hans-Peter Duerr, Universitaet Tuebingen, Germany

Wednesday, 24 Aug 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Tutorial: Models for communicable diseases (Lecture 2)
Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Arizona State University, USA
    Papers: ZIP... Presentation slides: PPT...

11:00am - 11:30am

--- Break ---

11:30am - 12:30pm

The role of stochasticity in epidemic models
Valerie Isham, University of College London, UK

Thursday, 25 Aug 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Tutorial: Models for communicable diseases (Lecture 3)
Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Arizona State University, USA
    Papers: ZIP... Presentation slides: PPT...

11:00am - 11:30am

--- Break ---

11:30am - 12:30pm

TBA
Stefan Ma, Ministry of Health, Singapore

Friday, 26 Aug 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Tutorial: Models for communicable diseases (Lecture 4)
Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Arizona State University, USA
    Papers: ZIP... Presentation slides: PPT...

« Back...

 

Immunity, vaccination, and other control strategies
(5 - 9 Sep 2005)

Venue:

IMS Auditorium
Institute for Mathematical Sciences, NUS
3 Prince George's Park
Singapore 118402
Getting to IMS...

Monday, 5 Sep 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Tutorial: How does mass immunisation affect disease incidence?  (Lecture 1)
Niels Gunther Becker, Australian National University, Australia
    Presentation slides: PPT...

11:00am - 11:30am

--- Break ---

11:30am - 12:30pm

Imperfect HIV vaccines and the evolution of virulence
Eduardo Massad, University of Sao Paulo, Brazil

Tuesday, 6 Sep 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Tutorial: Immunisation strategies for a community of households (Lecture 2)
Niels Gunther Becker, Australian National University, Australia
    Presentation slides: PPT...

11:00am - 11:30am

--- Break ---

11:30am - 12:30pm

The relationship between antibiotic use and antibiotic resistance - why we need the help of our mathematicians
Paul Anantharajah Tambyah, National University of Singapore

12:30pm - 02:15pm

--- Break ---

02:15pm - 03:15pm

Controlling international spread and monitoring incidence of a newly-emerged infectious disease
Kathryn Anne Glass, Australian National University, Australia

03:15pm - 03:45pm

--- Break ---

Wednesday, 7 Sep 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Tutorial: Immunisation with a partially effective vaccine (Lecture 3)
Niels Gunther Becker, Australian National University, Australia
    Presentation slides: PPT...

11:00am - 11:30am

--- Break ---

11:30am - 12:30pm

A chain multinomial model for estimating real time fatality rate of a disease with application to severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS)
Paul Yip, University of Hong Kong, China

12:30pm - 02:15pm

--- Break ---

02:15pm - 03:15pm

Some entomological factors in dengue dynamics in Singapore
Christina Liew, Environmental Health Institute, Singapore

Thursday, 8 Sep 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Tutorial: Preparedness for an emerging infection (Lecture 4)
Niels Gunther Becker, Australian National University, Australia
    Presentation slides: PPT...

11:00am - 02:15pm

--- Break ---

02:15pm - 03:15pm

Epidemics in heterogeneous communities and their vaccination policies
Tom Britton, Stockholm University, Sweden

03:15pm - 03:45pm

--- Break ---

03:45pm - 04:45pm

Sexually transmitted infections : An early warning indicator for HIV spread in low prevalence countries
Angela Chow and Ye Tun, Ministry of Health, Singapore

Friday, 9 Sep 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Keynote Lecture: Vaccination strategies when infection is dose dependent
Niels Gunther Becker, Australian National University, Australia
    Presentation slides: PPT...

11:00am - 11:30am

--- Break ---

11:30am - 12:30pm

Model based estimates of long-terms persistence of induced hepatitis A antibodies
Ziv Shkedy, Limburgs Universitair Centrum (LUC), Belgium

« Back...

 

Molecular analysis of infectious diseases
(12 - 16 Sep 2005)

Venue:

IMS Auditorium
Institute for Mathematical Sciences, NUS
3 Prince George's Park
Singapore 118402
Getting to IMS...

Monday, 12 Sep 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Keynote Lecture : Phylodynamics: unifying the evolutionary and epidemiological dynamics of viral pathogens
Oliver George Pybus, University of Oxford, UK

11:00am - 02:15pm

--- Break ---

02:15pm - 03:15pm

From infection cycles to pathogen phylogeny
Jacco Wallinga, National Institutes of Public Health and the Environment, Netherland

03:15pm - 03:45pm

--- Break ---

03:45pm - 04:45pm

Conducting genomic research on SARS during and after the outbreak
Lawrence Walter Stanton, Genome Institute of Singapore

Tuesday, 13 Sep 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Tutorial: Evolutionary analysis of viral genomes 1: quantifying genetic diversity (Lecture 1)
Oliver George Pybus, University of Oxford, UK
    Presentation slides: PDF...

Wednesday, 14 Sep 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Tutorial: Evolutionary analysis of viral genomes 2: phylogenies for epidemiologists (Lecture 2)
Oliver George Pybus, University of Oxford, UK
    Presentation slides: PDF...

11:00am - 11:30am

--- Break ---

11:30am - 12:30pm

Marker selection for population structure in genetic association studies
Yik-Ying Teo, Oxford University, UK

12:30pm - 02:15pm

--- Break ---

02:15pm - 03:15pm

The biological significance of tandem repeats in the bacterial genomes
Eric Yap, DSO National Laboratories, Singapore

03:15pm - 03:45pm

--- Break ---

03:45pm - 04:45pm

HIV molecular evolution and its impact on AIDS epidemic in China
Yiming Shao, National Center for AIDS/STD Control and Prevention and Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, China

Thursday, 15 Sep 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Tutorial: Evolutionary analysis of viral genomes 3: coalescent models (Lecture 3)
Oliver George Pybus, University of Oxford, UK
    Presentation slides: PDF...

11:00am - 02:15pm

--- Break ---

02:15pm - 03:15pm

Estimating the force of infection from serological data
Ziv Shkedy, Limburgs Universitair Centrum (LUC), Belgium

03:15pm - 03:45pm

--- Break ---

03:45pm - 04:45pm

Tutorial: Evolutionary analysis of viral genomes 4: natural selection & viral adaptation (Lecture 4)
Oliver George Pybus, University of Oxford, UK
    Presentation slides: PDF...

Friday, 16 Sep 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Characterization of dengue viruses from Singapore at the Environmental Health Institute
Tim Hart, Environmental Health Institute, Singapore

11:00am - 11:30am

--- Break ---

11:30am - 12:30pm

Long-term phylogenetic history of dengue from Puerto Rico demonstrates selection and population dynamics in sequence evolution
Shannon N. Bennett, University of Hawaii at Manoa

« Back...

 

Clinical and public health applications of mathematical modeling
(26 - 30 Sep 2005)

Venue:

IMS Auditorium
Institute for Mathematical Sciences, NUS
3 Prince George's Park
Singapore 118402
Getting to IMS...

Monday, 26 Sep 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Keynote Lecture: Timely identification of control strategies for emerging infectious diseases
John W Glasser, US CDC Atlanta, USA
   Presentation slides: PDF...

11:00am - 11:30am

--- Break ---

11:30am - 12:30pm

Experiences of a medical statistician working in a SARS-designated hospital
Arul Earnest, University of Sydney, Australia
   Presentation slides: PPT...

12:30pm - 02:15pm

--- Break ---

02:15pm - 03:15pm

Modeling healthcare associated infections
Ben Cooper, Health Protection Agency, UK

Tuesday, 27 Sep 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Tutorial: En route to reliable policymaking tools: models as hypotheses (Lecture 1, part 1)
   Presentation slides: PDF...
1997 Measles outbreak in São Paulo, Brazil: evaluation of vaccination strategies via mathematical modeling (Lecture 1, part 2)
   Presentation slides: PDF...
John W Glasser, US CDC Atlanta, USA

11:00am - 11:30am

--- Break ---

11:30am - 12:30pm

Timely identification of control strategies for emerging infectious diseases
Zhilan Feng, Purdue University, USA

12:30pm - 02:15pm

--- Break ---

02:15pm - 03:15pm

Back-calculation and environmental modeling for the 2003 SARS epidemic and developing effective engineering control methods
Yuguo Li, University of Hong Kong, China
    Lecture notes: PDF...

03:15pm - 03:45pm

--- Break ---

03:45pm - 04:45pm

Epidemic dengue: recrudescence of an old enemy
Steven Ooi, Ministry of Health, Singapore

Wednesday, 28 Sep 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Tutorial: Mathematical modeling of Rubella and Congenital Rubella Syndrome (Lecture 2,  part 1)
   Presentation slides: PDF...
Rubella in Romania: an evaluation of possible vaccination strategies via mathematical modeling (Lecture 2,  part 2)
   Presentation slides: PDF...
John W Glasser, US CDC Atlanta, USA

11:00am - 02:15pm

--- Break ---

02:15pm - 03:15pm

Modeling of infectious diseases and its implications for public health policy-making
Ying-Hen Hsieh, National Chung Hsing University, Taiwan

03:15pm - 03:45pm

--- Break ---

03:45pm - 04:45pm

Recent changes in the local epidemiology of dengue: the view from outside
Mark Chen, Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore
   Presentation slides: PDF...

Thursday, 29 Sep 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Tutorial: Implications of an explanation for secular patterns in reported Pertussis in the United States (Lecture 3, part 1)
   Presentation slides: PDF...
Mathematical epidemiology of Varicella and Herpes Zoster (Lecture 3, part 2)
   Presentation slides: PDF...
John W Glasser, US CDC Atlanta, USA

11:00am - 11:30am

--- Break ---

11:30am - 12:30pm

Some probability distributions and underlying stochastic mechansims in infectious disease transmission modelling (Part 1)
Ping Yan, Centre for Infectious Disease Prevention and Control Public Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, Canada
    Paper: PDF...

12:30pm - 02:15pm

--- Break ---

02:15pm - 03:15pm

Economic outcomes of influenza pandemic stockpiling strategies in Singapore
Vernon Jian Ming Lee, Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore

03:15pm - 03:45pm

--- Break ---

03:45pm - 04:45pm

Some probability distributions and underlying stochastic mechansims in infectious disease transmission modelling (Part 2)
Ping Yan, Centre for Infectious Disease Prevention and Control Public Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, Canada
    Paper: PDF...

Friday, 30 Sep 2005

10:00am - 11:00am

Tutorial: Re-introduction of smallpox into dynamic, socially-structured and spatially-distributed populations (Lecture 4)
John W Glasser, US CDC Atlanta, USA
   Presentation slides: PDF...

11:00am - 11:30am

--- Break ---

11:30am - 12:30pm

SituationESP: simulation tools for disease surveillance groups
Chris Skelly, Brunel University, UK

« Back...

 

 

Organizing Committee · Confirmed Visitors · Overview · Activities · Membership Application