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Mathematical Modeling of Infectious
Diseases:
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New development of the
SEIR models for the transmission of infectious diseases |
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Venue: |
IMS Auditorium |
Monday, 15 Aug 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Keynote Lecture:
Simulations of rubella
vaccination strategies in China |
11:00am - 02:00pm |
--- Break --- |
02:00pm - 03:00pm |
Heterogeneity in epidemic modeling |
Tuesday, 16 Aug 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Tutorial:
The basic epidemiology
models I: models and expressions for Ro (Lecture 1) |
11:00am - 02:00pm |
--- Break --- |
02:00pm - 03:00pm |
The
critical community size of the classic endemic model |
Wednesday, 17 Aug 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Tutorial:
The basic epidemiology
models II: parameter estimation and applications (Lecture
2) |
11:00am - 02:00pm |
--- Break --- |
02:00pm - 03:00pm |
Determinants and consequences of seasonality in measles
dynamics |
03:00pm - 03:45pm |
--- Break --- |
03:45pm - 04:45pm |
Sexual
networks and the evolution of sexually-transmitted
pathogens: N. gonorrhoeae as an example |
Thursday, 18 Aug 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Tutorial:
Epidemiology models
with variable population size (Lecture 3) |
Friday, 19 Aug 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Tutorial:
Age structured
epidemiology models and expressions for Ro (Lecture 4) |
11:00am - 11:30am |
--- Break --- |
11:30am - 12:30pm |
Smallpox
transmission and control: spatial dynamics in the
mainland United Kingdom |
Venue: |
IMS Auditorium |
Monday, 22 Aug 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Keynote Lecture:
The role of
crossimmunity on influenza dynamics |
11:00am - 11:30am |
--- Break --- |
11:30am - 12:30pm |
Waves, sparks and herd immunity in the
dynamics of infectious diseases |
Tuesday, 23 Aug 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Tutorial:
Models for communicable
diseases (Lecture 1) |
11:00am - 11:30am |
--- Break --- |
11:30am - 12:30pm |
Interventions in epidemics of influenza-like diseases -
insights from computer simulations |
Wednesday, 24 Aug 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Tutorial:
Models for communicable
diseases (Lecture 2) |
11:00am - 11:30am |
--- Break --- |
11:30am - 12:30pm |
The role
of stochasticity in epidemic models |
Thursday, 25 Aug 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Tutorial:
Models for communicable
diseases (Lecture 3) |
11:00am - 11:30am |
--- Break --- |
11:30am - 12:30pm |
TBA |
Friday, 26 Aug 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Tutorial:
Models for communicable
diseases (Lecture 4) |
Immunity, vaccination, and other control strategies |
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Venue: |
IMS Auditorium |
Monday, 5 Sep 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Tutorial:
How does mass
immunisation affect disease incidence? (Lecture
1) |
11:00am - 11:30am |
--- Break --- |
11:30am - 12:30pm |
Imperfect HIV vaccines and the
evolution of virulence |
Tuesday, 6 Sep 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Tutorial:
Immunisation strategies
for a community of households (Lecture 2) |
11:00am - 11:30am |
--- Break --- |
11:30am - 12:30pm |
The relationship between antibiotic use
and antibiotic resistance - why we need the help of our
mathematicians |
12:30pm - 02:15pm |
--- Break --- |
02:15pm - 03:15pm |
Controlling international spread and monitoring
incidence of a newly-emerged infectious disease |
03:15pm - 03:45pm |
--- Break --- |
Wednesday, 7 Sep 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Tutorial:
Immunisation with a
partially effective vaccine (Lecture 3) |
11:00am - 11:30am |
--- Break --- |
11:30am - 12:30pm |
A chain
multinomial model for estimating real time fatality rate
of a disease with application to severe acute
respiratory syndrome (SARS) |
12:30pm - 02:15pm |
--- Break --- |
02:15pm - 03:15pm |
Some entomological factors in dengue
dynamics in Singapore |
Thursday, 8 Sep 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Tutorial:
Preparedness for an
emerging infection (Lecture 4) |
11:00am - 02:15pm |
--- Break --- |
02:15pm - 03:15pm |
Epidemics in heterogeneous communities and their
vaccination policies |
03:15pm - 03:45pm |
--- Break --- |
03:45pm - 04:45pm |
Sexually transmitted infections : An
early warning indicator for HIV spread in low prevalence
countries |
Friday, 9 Sep 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Keynote Lecture:
Vaccination strategies
when infection is dose dependent |
11:00am - 11:30am |
--- Break --- |
11:30am - 12:30pm |
Model
based estimates of long-terms persistence of induced
hepatitis A antibodies |
Molecular analysis of infectious diseases |
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Venue: |
IMS Auditorium |
Monday, 12 Sep 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Keynote Lecture :
Phylodynamics:
unifying the evolutionary and epidemiological dynamics
of viral pathogens |
11:00am - 02:15pm |
--- Break --- |
02:15pm - 03:15pm |
From
infection cycles to pathogen phylogeny |
03:15pm - 03:45pm |
--- Break --- |
03:45pm - 04:45pm |
Conducting genomic research on SARS during and after the
outbreak |
Tuesday, 13 Sep 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Tutorial:
Evolutionary analysis of
viral genomes 1: quantifying genetic diversity (Lecture 1) |
Wednesday, 14 Sep 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Tutorial:
Evolutionary analysis of
viral genomes 2: phylogenies for epidemiologists (Lecture 2) |
11:00am - 11:30am |
--- Break --- |
11:30am - 12:30pm |
Marker
selection for population structure in genetic
association studies |
12:30pm - 02:15pm |
--- Break --- |
02:15pm - 03:15pm |
The biological significance of tandem
repeats in the bacterial genomes |
03:15pm - 03:45pm |
--- Break --- |
03:45pm - 04:45pm |
HIV molecular evolution and its impact
on AIDS epidemic in China |
Thursday, 15 Sep 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Tutorial:
Evolutionary analysis of
viral genomes 3: coalescent models (Lecture 3) |
11:00am - 02:15pm |
--- Break --- |
02:15pm - 03:15pm |
Estimating the force of infection from serological
data |
03:15pm - 03:45pm |
--- Break --- |
03:45pm - 04:45pm |
Tutorial:
Evolutionary analysis of
viral genomes 4: natural selection & viral adaptation
(Lecture 4) |
Friday, 16 Sep 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Characterization of dengue viruses from Singapore at the
Environmental Health Institute |
11:00am - 11:30am |
--- Break --- |
11:30am - 12:30pm |
Long-term phylogenetic history of dengue from Puerto
Rico demonstrates selection and population dynamics in
sequence evolution |
Clinical and public health
applications of mathematical modeling |
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Venue: |
IMS Auditorium |
Monday, 26 Sep 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Keynote Lecture:
Timely identification of control strategies for emerging
infectious diseases |
11:00am - 11:30am |
--- Break --- |
11:30am - 12:30pm |
Experiences of a medical statistician working in a SARS-designated hospital |
12:30pm - 02:15pm |
--- Break --- |
02:15pm - 03:15pm |
Modeling healthcare associated infections |
Tuesday, 27 Sep 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Tutorial:
En route to reliable
policymaking tools: models as hypotheses
(Lecture 1, part 1) |
11:00am - 11:30am |
--- Break --- |
11:30am - 12:30pm |
Timely
identification of control strategies for emerging
infectious diseases |
12:30pm - 02:15pm |
--- Break --- |
02:15pm - 03:15pm |
Back-calculation and environmental modeling for the 2003
SARS epidemic and developing effective engineering
control methods |
03:15pm - 03:45pm |
--- Break --- |
03:45pm - 04:45pm |
Epidemic
dengue: recrudescence of an old enemy |
Wednesday, 28 Sep 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Tutorial:
Mathematical modeling
of Rubella and Congenital Rubella Syndrome (Lecture 2,
part 1) |
11:00am - 02:15pm |
--- Break --- |
02:15pm - 03:15pm |
Modeling of infectious diseases and its implications for
public health policy-making |
03:15pm - 03:45pm |
--- Break --- |
03:45pm - 04:45pm |
Recent changes in the local
epidemiology of dengue: the view from outside |
Thursday, 29 Sep 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Tutorial:
Implications of an
explanation for secular patterns in reported Pertussis
in the United States
(Lecture 3, part 1) |
11:00am - 11:30am |
--- Break --- |
11:30am - 12:30pm |
Some
probability distributions and underlying stochastic
mechansims in infectious disease transmission modelling
(Part 1) |
12:30pm - 02:15pm |
--- Break --- |
02:15pm - 03:15pm |
Economic
outcomes of influenza pandemic stockpiling strategies in
Singapore |
03:15pm - 03:45pm |
--- Break --- |
03:45pm - 04:45pm |
Some
probability distributions and underlying stochastic
mechansims in infectious disease transmission modelling
(Part 2) |
Friday, 30 Sep 2005 |
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10:00am - 11:00am |
Tutorial:
Re-introduction of
smallpox into dynamic, socially-structured and
spatially-distributed populations (Lecture 4) |
11:00am - 11:30am |
--- Break --- |
11:30am - 12:30pm |
SituationESP: simulation tools for disease surveillance
groups |
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