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Data-driven and Physically-based Models for Characterization of Processes in Hydrology, Hydraulics, Oceanography and Climate Change
(6 - 28 Jan 2008)

Jointly organized with Pacific Institute for Mathematical Sciences, UBC

Organizing Committee · Visitors and Participants · Overview · Activities · Venue · Funding for Young Scientists


Venue: IMS Auditorium


7 - 11 Jan 2008 · 14 - 18 Jan 2008 · 21 - 25 Jan 2008

 

 Monday, 7 Jan 2008

08:30am - 09:00am

Registration

09:00am - 09:05am

Opening remarks
Louis Chen, Institute for Mathematical Sciences
Jim Zidek, University of British Columbia, Canada

09:05am - 10:30am

Reconciling physical & statistical approaches to modelling (PDF)

Jim Zidek, University of British Columbia, Canada

10:30am - 11:00am

--- Coffee Break ---

11:00am - 12:30pm

Tsunami Modelling in Indian Ocean and South China Sea
Pavel Tkalich, National University of Singapore

12:30pm - 02:00pm

--- Lunch Break ---

02:00pm - 03:30pm

Internal solitary waves in the atmosphere and ocean (PDF)

Roger Grimshaw, Loughborough University, UK

03:30pm - 04:00pm

--- Coffee Break ---

04:00pm - 05:15pm

Discussion on topics of the day

Tuesday, 8 Jan 2008

08:45am - 09:00am

Registration

09:00am - 10:30am

Statistics for ordinary and stochastic differential equation models

Part I: Modeling issues and offline estimation (PDF)

Hans-Rudolf Künsch, ETH Zürich, Switzerland

10:30am - 11:00am

--- Coffee Break ---

11:00am - 12:30pm

Multiscale techniques for porous media flows (PDF)

Yalchin Efendiev, Texas A&M University, USA

12:30pm - 02:00pm

--- Lunch Break ---

02:00pm - 03:30pm

The numerical simulation of hydrostatic free surface flows

Guus Stelling, Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands

03:30pm - 04:00pm

--- Coffee Break ---

04:00pm - 05:15pm

Discussion on topics of the day

Wednesday, 9 Jan 2008

08:45am - 09:00am

Registration

09:00am - 10:30am

Modeling of heterogeneous datasets (PPT)

Yosihiko Ogata, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Japan

10:30am - 11:00am

--- Coffee Break ---

11:00am - 12:30pm

Regional climate model downscaling of USA present climate and future projection: Uncertainty and dimension reduction

Xin-Zhong Liang, Illinois State Water Survey Illinois State Department of Natural Resources and University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, USA

12:30pm - 02:00pm

--- Lunch Break ---

02:00pm - 03:30pm

Web based Online Tsunami warning for Thailand Andaman coastline

Seree Supratid, Rangsit University, Thailand

03:30pm - 04:00pm

--- Coffee Break ---

04:00pm - 05:15pm

Discussion on topics of the day

Thursday, 10 Jan 2008

08:45am - 09:00am

Registration

09:00am - 10:30am

The numerical simulation of hydrostatic free surface flows

Guus Stelling, Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands

10:30am - 11:00am

--- Coffee Break ---

11:00am - 12:30pm

Uncertainty quantification using coarse-scale models (PDF)

Yalchin Efendiev, Texas A&M University, USA

12:30pm - 02:00pm

--- Lunch Break ---

02:00pm - 03:30pm

Data driven techniques
Vladan Babovic, National University of Singapore

03:30pm - 04:00pm

--- Coffee Break ---

04:00pm - 05:15pm

Discussion on topics of the day

Friday, 11 Jan 2008

08:45am - 09:00am

Registration

09:00am - 10:30am

Standard point-process models for prediction and diagnosis of earthquake activity

Yosihiko Ogata, The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Japan

10:30am - 11:00am

--- Coffee Break ---

11:00am - 12:30pm

Solitons interactions of two traids of the Kadomtsev-Petviashvili equation

Chee Tiong Ong, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, Malaysia

12:30pm - 02:00pm

--- Lunch Break ---

02:00pm - 03:30pm

Korteweg-de Vries equation: applications (PDF)

Roger Grimshaw, Loughborough University, UK

03:30pm - 04:00pm

--- Coffee Break ---

04:00pm - 05:15pm

Discussion on topics of the day


7 - 11 Jan 2008 · 14 - 18 Jan 2008 · 21 - 25 Jan 2008


 Monday, 14 Jan 2008

08:45am - 09:00am

Registration

09:00am - 10:30am

Modeling annual precipation outputs from a deterministic model: the problem of extremes

(PDF)

Jim Zidek, University of British Columbia, Canada

10:30am - 11:00am

--- Coffee Break ---

11:00am - 12:30pm

Models for environmental extremes I (PPT)

Abdel El-Shaarawi, The National Water Research Institute, Canada

12:30pm - 02:00pm

--- Lunch Break ---

02:00pm - 03:30pm

Integrated water resources management
Shie-Yui Liong, National University of Singapore

03:30pm - 04:00pm

--- Coffee Break ---

04:00pm - 05:15pm

Discussion on topics of the day

Tuesday, 15 Jan 2008

08:45am - 09:00am

Registration

09:00am - 10:30am

Statistics for ordinary and stochastic differential equation models

Part II: Filtering and sequential estimation (PDF)

Hans-Rudolf Künsch, ETH Zürich, Switzerland

10:30am - 11:00am

--- Coffee Break ---

11:00am - 12:30pm

Physically-based models for the generation, propagation and impact of water waves - part 1 (PDF)

Frédéric Dias, Ecole Normale Supérieure de Cachan, France

12:30pm - 02:00pm

--- Lunch Break ---

02:00pm - 03:30pm

Numerical simulation of shallow flows: 1D approach

Pilar Garcia Navarro, University of Zaragoza, Spain

03:30pm - 04:00pm

--- Coffee Break ---

04:00pm - 05:15pm

Discussion on topics of the day

Wednesday, 16 Jan 2008

08:45am - 09:00am

Registration

09:00am - 10:30am

A framework for uncertainty quantification combining detailed computer simulations and experimental data

David Higdon, Los Alamos National Laboratory, USA

10:30am - 11:00am

--- Coffee Break ---

11:00am - 12:30pm

Physically-based models for the generation, propagation and impact of water waves - part 2 (PDF)
Frédéric Dias, Ecole Normale Supérieure de Cachan, France

12:30pm - 02:00pm

--- Lunch Break ---

02:00pm - 03:30pm

Numerical simulation of shallow flows: 2D approach

Pilar Garcia Navarro, University of Zaragoza, Spain

03:30pm - 04:00pm

--- Coffee Break ---

04:00pm - 05:15pm

Discussion Topic 1: Development of a fully integrated data driven and physical-based models for water resources management
Discussion Topic 2: Dynamic and statistical downscaling on climate change study
Discussion Topic 3: Nonlinear wave dynamics and Tsunami modeling

Thursday, 17 Jan 2008

08:45am - 09:00am

Registration

09:00am - 10:30am

Models for environmental extremes II

Abdel El-Shaarawi, The National Water Research Institute, Canada

10:30am - 11:00am

--- Coffee Break ---

11:00am - 12:30pm

Towards entwining computing, modeling and analysis

David Higdon, Los Alamos National Laboratory, USA

12:30pm - 02:00pm

--- Lunch Break ---

02:00pm - 03:30pm

Trend analysis: considerations for water quality management (PPT)
Sylvia Esterby, University of British Columbia, Canada

03:30pm - 04:00pm

--- Coffee Break ---

04:00pm - 05:15pm

Discussion Topic 1: Development of a fully integrated data driven and physical-based models for water resources management
Discussion Topic 2: Dynamic and statistical downscaling on climate change study
Discussion Topic 3: Nonlinear wave dynamics and Tsunami modeling

Friday, 18 Jan 2008

08:45am - 09:00am

Registration

09:00am - 10:30am

Determining homogeneous regions: considerations for water quality management (PPT)

Sylvia Esterby, University of British Columbia, Canada

10:30am - 11:00am

--- Coffee Break ---

11:00am - 12:30pm

Numerical study of wave and submerged breakwater interaction (PPT)

Dang Hieu Phung, Institute of Meteorology, Hydrology and Environment, Vietnam

12:30pm - 02:00pm

--- Lunch Break ---

02:00pm - 03:30pm

Discussion Topic 1: Development of a fully integrated data driven and physical-based models for water resources management
Discussion Topic 2: Dynamic and statistical downscaling on climate change study
Discussion Topic 3: Nonlinear wave dynamics and Tsunami modeling

03:30pm - 04:00pm

--- Coffee Break ---

04:00pm - 05:15pm

Discussion Topic 1: Development of a fully integrated data driven and physical-based models for water resources management
Discussion Topic 2: Dynamic and statistical downscaling on climate change study
Discussion Topic 3: Nonlinear wave dynamics and Tsunami modeling


7 - 11 Jan 2008 . 14 - 18 Jan 2008 . 21 - 25 Jan 2008


 Monday, 21 Jan 2008

08:45am - 09:00am

Registration

09:00am - 10:00am

Downscaling methods for climate-related impact assessment studies (PPT)
Van-Thanh-Van Nguyen, McGill University, Canada

10:00am - 11:00am

Applying data assimilation methods in Delft-FEWS to improve real time forecasting

Albrecht Weerts, WL | Delft Hydraulics, The Netherlands

11:00am - 11:30am

--- Coffee Break ---

11:30am - 12:30pm

Dynamical and statistical downscaling of New Zealand climate and linking to impact assessment studies (PPT)

Brett Mullan, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, New Zealand

12:30pm - 02:00pm

--- Lunch Break ---

02:00pm - 03:30pm

Analyzing input and structural uncertainty of a hydrological model with Stochastic, time-dependent parameters (PPT)

Peter Reichert, Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology (Eawag), Switzerland

03:30pm - 04:00pm

--- Coffee Break ---

04:00pm - 05:15pm

Earthquake and tsunami scenarios in the South China Sea (PPT)

Vu Thanh Ca, Vietnam Institute of Meteorology, Hydrology and Environment, Vietnam

Tuesday, 22 Jan 2008

08:45am - 09:00am

Registration

09:00am - 10:30am

A spatial-temporal downscaling approach to construction of intensity duration frequency relations in consideration of GCM-based climate change scenarios (PPT)

Van-Thanh-Van Nguyen, McGill University, Canada

10:30am - 11:00am

--- Coffee Break ---

11:00am - 12:30pm

Physical-based emulation of dynamic models - concept and application in hydrology

(PPT)

Peter Reichert, Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and
Technology (Eawag), Switzerland

12:30pm - 02:00pm

--- Lunch Break ---

02:00pm - 03:30pm

Measuring uncertainty in spatial data via Bayesian melding (PDF)

Matthew Falk, Queensland University of Technology, Australia

03:30pm - 04:00pm

--- Coffee Break ---

04:00pm - 05:15pm

Discussion on topics of the day

Wednesday, 23 Jan 2008

08:45am - 09:00am

Registration

09:00am - 10:30am

Mixtures of experts approaches in rainfall runoff modelling (PDF)

David Nott, National University of Singapore

10:30am - 11:00am

--- Coffee Break ---

11:00am - 12:30pm

Routes of transition to turbulence

Hua-Shu Dou, National University of Singapore

12:30pm - 02:00pm

--- Lunch Break ---

02:00pm - 03:30pm

An event driven model framework for water distribution systems based on transient flow analysis (PPT)
Development of integrated models for urban drainage systems (PPT)
Yu-Wen Zhou, Bejing University of Technology, China

Thursday, 24 Jan 2008

08:45am - 09:00am

Registration

09:00am - 10:30am

Biases and uncertainties in regional climate predictions (PDF)
Hans-Rudolf Künsch, ETH Zürich, Switzerland

10:30am - 11:00am

--- Coffee Break ---

11:00am - 11:45am

Introduction to tropical marine science institute
Pavel Tkalich, National University of Singapore

11:45am - 12:30pm

Introduction to Singapore-Delft water alliance
Vladan Babovic, National University of Singapore

12:30pm - 02:00pm

Discussion Topic 3: Nonlinear wave dynamics and Tsunami modeling

02:00pm - 03:30pm

--- Lunch Break ---

Friday, 25 Jan 2008

01:30pm - 05:30pm

Visit to Changi WRP and NEWater Visitor Centre (NVC)


7 - 11 Jan 2008 · 14 - 18 Jan 2008 · 21 - 25 Jan 2008

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