NAME & AFFILIATION  | 
                      PERIOD OF VISIT  | 
                      
                      TENTATIVE TITLE OF TALK  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Robert F. Engle (Nobel Laureate) 
                        New York University 
                        
                        rengle@stern.nyu.edu  | 
                      
                         7 - 11 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - Downside risk and its implications 
                        for financial management (Symposium) 
                          Presentation: 
                        PPT  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Lawrence R. Klein (Nobel Laureate) 
                        University of Pennsylvania 
                        lrk@econ.upenn.edu  | 
                      
                         5 - 12 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - The University of Pennsylvania models 
                        for high-frequency macroeconomic modeling 
  Paper: PDF...          
                        Presentation: PPT... 
                        - Interpreting multi-sectoral versus 
                        multi-time-period analysis in forecasting 
                        (Symposium)  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Tilak Abeysinghe 
                        National University of Singapore 
                        
                        tilakabey@nus.edu.sg  | 
                      
                         5 Apr - 22 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - 
                        Temporal aggregation, causality distortions, and a sign 
                        rule 
  Paper: PDF...          
                        Presentation: PDF...  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Federico Bandi 
                        University of Chicago 
                        
                        federico.bandi@gsb.uchicago.edu  | 
                      
                         3 - 9 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - 
                        Microstructure noise, realized volatility, and optimal 
                        sampling 
                        (Symposium) 
  Paper1: PDF...        Paper2:
                        PDF...  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Carlos Bautista 
                        University of the Philippines 
                        bautista@up.edu.ph  | 
                      
                         3 - 15 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - How 
                        volatile are East Asian stocks during high volatility 
                        periods? 
  Paper: PDF...          
                        Presentation: PPT...  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Anil K. Bera 
                        University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 
                        abera@uiuc.edu  | 
                      
                         16 - 20 Apr 2004  | 
                      
                         - A 
                        smooth test for density forecast evaluation  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         Lisa Grace S. Bersales 
                        University of the Philippines 
                        
                        lisab@pacific.net.ph  | 
                      
                         5 - 15 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - A 
                        composite leading economic indicator for the Philippines  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Wolfgang Breymann 
                        Institut für Physik, Switzerland 
                        
                        breymann@math.ethz.ch  | 
                      
                         18 Apr - 9 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - 
                        Univariate and multivariate analysis and modeling of 
                        high-frequency financial data (Tutorial Lecture) 
                          Presentation:
                        1...,
                        2...,
                        3...,
                        4... 
                        - Intraday diversified 
                        world stock indices: dynamics, return distributions, 
                        dependence structure 
                        (Symposium) 
  Paper: PDF...      
                          
                        Presentation: PDF...  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Wai Sum Chan 
                        The University of Hong Kong 
                        chanws@hku.hk  | 
                      
                         1 - 9 May 2004  | 
                      
                          | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         Songnian Chen 
                        Hong Kong University of Science and Technology 
                        snchen@ust.hk  | 
                      
                         4 - 10 Apr 2004  | 
                      
                         - An 
                        integrated smoothed maximum score estimator for a 
                        generalized censored Quantile regression model  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Chew Lian Chua, Michael 
                        The University of Melbourne 
                        
                        mchua@unimelb.edu.au  | 
                      
                         5 Apr - 8 May 2004  | 
                      
                          | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Choongtze Chua 
                        Singapore Management University 
                        ctchua@smu.edu.sg  | 
                      
                         5 Apr - 22 May 2004  | 
                      
                          | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        Francis Dakila 
                        Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas 
                        fdakila@yahoo.com;
                        fdakila@bsp.gov.ph  | 
                      
                         5 Apr - 22 May 2004  | 
                      
                         The 
                        BSP’s structural long-term inflation forecasting model 
                        for the Philippines 
  Paper: PDF...         
                        Presentation: 
                        PPT...  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Manfred Deistler 
                        Technische Universität Wien 
                        
                        deistler@tuwien.ac.at  | 
                      
                         9 - 15 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - Multivariate time series analysis and 
                        forecasting (Tutorial Lecture) 
                          Presentation:
                        1...,
                        2...,
                        3...,
                        4... 
                        - System identifiation 
                        general aspects and structure 
  Presentation: PDF....  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Philip Hans Franses 
                        Erasmus University Rotterdam, The Netherlands 
                        franses@few.eur.nl  | 
                      
                         26 Apr - 8 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - 
                        Forecasting seasonal time series (Tutorial Lecture) 
  Presentation: PDF.... 
                        - Forecasting jumps in 
                        conditional volatility: The GARCH-IE model 
                        (Symposium) 
  Presentation: PDF....  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Christian Gourieroux 
                        CREST, CEPREMAP and
                        University of Toronto 
                        c.gourieroux@utoronto.ca  | 
                      
                         3 - 9 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - 
                        Affine processes with financial applications  (Tutorial Lecture) 
  References: 1...,
                        2...,
                        3...,
                        4... 
                        - Wishart quadratic term structure models 
                        (Symposium) 
  Paper: PDF...  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Yongmiao Hong 
                        Cornell University 
                        yh20@cornell.edu  | 
                      
                         4 - 9 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - Are 
                        the directions of stock price changes predictable? 
                        Statistical theory and evidence 
                        (Symposium) 
  Paper: PDF...  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Nikolaus Hautsch 
                        University of Copenhagen 
                        
                        Nikolaus.Hautsch@econ.ku.dk  | 
                      
                         6 - 11 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - A 
                        continuous-time measurement of the buy-sell pressure in 
                        a limit order book market 
  Paper: PDF...  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         Hoe Ee Khor 
                        Monetary Authority of Singapore 
                        hkhor@mas.gov.sg  | 
                      
                         5 Apr - 22 May 2004  | 
                      
                          | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         Jin Lee 
                        National University of Singapore 
                        ecsleej@nus.edu.sg  | 
                      
                         5 Apr - 22 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - Wavelet transform for log periodogram 
                        regression in long memory stochastic volatility model  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         Wai Keung Li 
                        The University of Hong Kong 
                        
                        hrntlwk@hkucc.hku.hk  | 
                      
                         2 - 9 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - A 
                        multivariate threshold GARCH model with time-varying 
                        correlations 
                        (Symposium) 
  Paper: PDF...  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Jin-Lung (Henry) Lin 
                        Academia Sinica, National Taiwan University 
                        
                        jlin@beta.wsl.sinica.edu.tw  | 
                      
                         6 - 11 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - 
                        Extreme value analysis of Taiwan stock market  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         Qianqiu Liu 
                        University of Hawaii 
                        qliu@cba.hawaii.edu  | 
                      
                         13 - 23 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - On 
                        portfolio optimization: how do we benefit from 
                        high-frequency data 
  Paper: PDF....       
                        Presentation: PPT...  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Asger Lunde 
                        Aarhus School of Business 
                        alunde@asb.dk  | 
                      
                         5 - 9 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - An 
                        unbiased measure of realized variance 
                        (Symposium) 
                          Paper1: PDF...        Paper2:
                        PDF...  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Roberto Mariano 
                        Singapore Management University and 
                        University of 
                        Pennsylvania 
                        
                        rsmariano@smu.edu.sg  | 
                      
                         5 Apr - 22 May 2004  | 
                      
                          | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Michael McAleer 
                        University of Western Australia 
                        
                        Michael.McAleer@uwa.edu.au  | 
                      
                         5 - 9 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - 
                        Dynamic leverage and threshold effects in stochastic 
                        volatility models 
                        (Symposium) 
                          Paper: PDF....  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Paul McNelis 
                        Georgetown University 
                        
                        mcnelisp@georgetown.edu  | 
                      
                         1 - 22 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - A 
                        comparison of U.S. and Hong Kong cap-floor volatility 
                        dynamics 
  Paper: PDF....  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Yasutomo Murasawa 
                        Osaka Prefecture University 
                        
                        murasawa@eco.osakafu-u.ac.jp  | 
                      
                         18 - 24 Apr 2004  | 
                      
                         - 
                        Constructing a coincident index of business cycles 
                        without assuming a one-factor model 
  Paper: PDF....  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Roel Oomen 
                        University of Warwick 
                        roel.oomen@wbs.ac.uk  | 
                      
                         6 - 10 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - 
                        Properties of realized variance for pure jump processes: 
                        calendar time sampling versus business time sampling 
                        (Symposium) 
  Paper1: PDF...        Paper2:
                        PDF...       
                        Presentation: PDF...  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Gamini Premaratne 
                        National University of Singapore 
                        gamini@nus.edu.sg  | 
                      
                         5 Apr - 22 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - 
                        Stock market volatility: examining North America, Europe 
                        and Asia 
  Paper: PDF....  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         Edward Robinson 
                        Monetary Authority of Singapore 
                        edward@mas.gov.sg  | 
                      
                         5 Apr - 22 May 2004  | 
                      
                          | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Jeffrey Russell 
                        University of Chicago 
                        
                        jeffrey.russell@gsb.uchicago.edu  | 
                      
                         2 - 9 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - 
                        Econometric analysis of high-frequency financial data  
                        (Tutorial Lecture) 
  Presentation: PDF.... 
                        - Full-information 
                        transaction costs 
                        (Symposium) 
  Paper: PDF....       
                        Presentation: PPT...  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Anthony Tay 
                        Singapore Management University 
                        
                        anthonytay@smu.edu.sg  | 
                      
                         5 Apr - 22 May 2004  | 
                      
                          | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Yiu Kuen Tse 
                        Singapore Management University 
                        yktse@smu.edu.sg  | 
                      
                         5 Apr - 22 May 2004  | 
                      
                          | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Kenneth Wallis 
                        University of Warwick 
                        K.F.Wallis@warwick.ac.uk  | 
                      
                         29 Apr - 8 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - 
                        Forecast uncertainty, its representation and evaluation 
                        (Tutorial Lecture) 
  Outline and references: PDF... 
                        - An assessment of Bank 
                        of England and National Institute inflation forecast 
                        uncertainties 
                        (Symposium) 
  Paper: PDF....  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         
                        
                        Kenneth D. West 
                        University of Wisconsin 
                        kdwest@wisc.edu  | 
                      
                         6 - 9 May 2004  | 
                      
                         Using 
                        out-of-sample mean squared prediction errors to test the 
                        martingale difference hypothesis 
                        (Symposium) 
  Paper: PDF....       
                        Appendix: PDF...        
                        Presentation: PDF...  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         Wing-Keung Wong 
                        National University of Singapore 
                        ecswwk@nus.edu.sg  | 
                      
                         5 Apr - 22 May 2004  | 
                      
                          | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         Baosheng Yuan 
                        National University of Singapore 
                        
                        baosheng@cz3.nus.edu.sg  | 
                      
                         5 Apr - 22 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - 
                        Statistical analysis of high frequency financial data 
                        and modeling of financial time series 
  Presentation: PPT....  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         GRADUATE STUDENTS  | 
                      
                          | 
                      
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                      | 
                         Wu Jie 
                        National University of Singapore
                        g0201929@nus.edu.sg  | 
                      
                         5 Apr - 22 May 2004  | 
                      
                         - 
                        Intraday periodicity, long memory volatility, and 
                        macroeconomic announcement effects on China Treasury 
                        bond market 
  Paper: PDF....  | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         Yi-Chiung Lin 
                        University of London 
                        
                        yi-chiung@hotmail.com  | 
                      
                         12 Apr - 22 May 2004  | 
                      
                          | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         Hua Wen 
                        National University of Singapore 
                        g0201944@nus.edu.sg  | 
                      
                         5 Apr - 22 May 2004  | 
                      
                          | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         John Williams 
                        University of Oxford 
                        
                        john.williams@chch.ox.ac.uk  | 
                      
                         4 Apr - 22 May 2004  | 
                      
                          | 
                    
                    
                      | 
                         Filip Žikeš 
                        Charles University in Prague, Czech Republic 
                        zikesf@yahoo.com  | 
                      
                         25 Apr - 7 May 2004  | 
                      
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