ECONOMETRIC FORECASTING AND HIGH-FREQUENCY DATA ANALYSIS
(5 Apr - 22 May 2004)

Jointly organized by Institute for Mathematical Sciences, National University of Singapore and
School of Economics and Social Sciences, Singapore Management University

Organizers · Confirmed Visitors · Overview · Activities · Membership Application

Confirmed Visitors

(Partial list; as at 10 May 2004)

NAME & AFFILIATION

PERIOD OF VISIT

TENTATIVE TITLE OF TALK

Robert F. Engle (Nobel Laureate)
New York University
rengle@stern.nyu.edu

7 - 11 May 2004

- Downside risk and its implications for financial management (Symposium)
  Presentation: PPT

Lawrence R. Klein (Nobel Laureate)
University of Pennsylvania
lrk@econ.upenn.edu

5 - 12 May 2004

- The University of Pennsylvania models for high-frequency macroeconomic modeling
  Paper: PDF...          Presentation: PPT...
- Interpreting multi-sectoral versus multi-time-period analysis in forecasting (Symposium)

Tilak Abeysinghe
National University of Singapore
tilakabey@nus.edu.sg

5 Apr - 22 May 2004

- Temporal aggregation, causality distortions, and a sign rule
  Paper: PDF...          Presentation: PDF...

Federico Bandi
University of Chicago
federico.bandi@gsb.uchicago.edu

3 - 9 May 2004

- Microstructure noise, realized volatility, and optimal sampling (Symposium)
  Paper1: PDF...        Paper2: PDF...

Carlos Bautista
University of the Philippines
bautista@up.edu.ph

3 - 15 May 2004

- How volatile are East Asian stocks during high volatility periods?
  Paper: PDF...          Presentation: PPT...

Anil K. Bera
University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
abera@uiuc.edu

16 - 20 Apr 2004

- A smooth test for density forecast evaluation

Lisa Grace S. Bersales
University of the Philippines
lisab@pacific.net.ph

5 - 15 May 2004

- A composite leading economic indicator for the Philippines

Wolfgang Breymann
Institut für Physik, Switzerland
breymann@math.ethz.ch

18 Apr - 9 May 2004

- Univariate and multivariate analysis and modeling of high-frequency financial data (Tutorial Lecture)
  Presentation: 1..., 2..., 3..., 4...
- Intraday diversified world stock indices: dynamics, return distributions, dependence structure (Symposium)
  Paper: PDF...         Presentation: PDF...

Wai Sum Chan
The University of Hong Kong
chanws@hku.hk

1 - 9 May 2004

 

Songnian Chen
Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
snchen@ust.hk

4 - 10 Apr 2004

- An integrated smoothed maximum score estimator for a generalized censored Quantile regression model

Chew Lian Chua, Michael
The University of Melbourne
mchua@unimelb.edu.au

5 Apr - 8 May 2004

 

Choongtze Chua
Singapore Management University
ctchua@smu.edu.sg

5 Apr - 22 May 2004

 

Francis Dakila
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
fdakila@yahoo.com; fdakila@bsp.gov.ph

5 Apr - 22 May 2004

The BSP’s structural long-term inflation forecasting model for the Philippines
  Paper: PDF...         Presentation: PPT...

Manfred Deistler
Technische Universität Wien
deistler@tuwien.ac.at

9 - 15 May 2004

- Multivariate time series analysis and forecasting (Tutorial Lecture)
  Presentation: 1..., 2..., 3..., 4...
- System identifiation general aspects and structure
  Presentation: PDF....

Philip Hans Franses
Erasmus University Rotterdam, The Netherlands
franses@few.eur.nl

26 Apr - 8 May 2004

- Forecasting seasonal time series (Tutorial Lecture)
  Presentation: PDF....
- Forecasting jumps in conditional volatility: The GARCH-IE model (Symposium)
  Presentation: PDF....

Christian Gourieroux
CREST, CEPREMAP and University of Toronto
c.gourieroux@utoronto.ca

3 - 9 May 2004

- Affine processes with financial applications  (Tutorial Lecture)
  References: 1..., 2..., 3..., 4...
- Wishart quadratic term structure models (Symposium)
  Paper: PDF...

Yongmiao Hong
Cornell University
yh20@cornell.edu

4 - 9 May 2004

- Are the directions of stock price changes predictable? Statistical theory and evidence (Symposium)
  Paper: PDF...

Nikolaus Hautsch
University of Copenhagen
Nikolaus.Hautsch@econ.ku.dk

6 - 11 May 2004

- A continuous-time measurement of the buy-sell pressure in a limit order book market
  Paper: PDF...

Hoe Ee Khor
Monetary Authority of Singapore
hkhor@mas.gov.sg

5 Apr - 22 May 2004

 

Jin Lee
National University of Singapore
ecsleej@nus.edu.sg

5 Apr - 22 May 2004

- Wavelet transform for log periodogram regression in long memory stochastic volatility model

Wai Keung Li
The University of Hong Kong
hrntlwk@hkucc.hku.hk

2 - 9 May 2004

- A multivariate threshold GARCH model with time-varying correlations (Symposium)
  Paper: PDF...

Jin-Lung (Henry) Lin
Academia Sinica, National Taiwan University
jlin@beta.wsl.sinica.edu.tw

6 - 11 May 2004

- Extreme value analysis of Taiwan stock market

Qianqiu Liu
University of Hawaii
qliu@cba.hawaii.edu

13 - 23 May 2004

- On portfolio optimization: how do we benefit from high-frequency data
  Paper: PDF....       Presentation: PPT...

Asger Lunde
Aarhus School of Business
alunde@asb.dk

5 - 9 May 2004

- An unbiased measure of realized variance (Symposium)
  Paper1: PDF...        Paper2: PDF...

Roberto Mariano
Singapore Management University and
University of Pennsylvania
rsmariano@smu.edu.sg

5 Apr - 22 May 2004

 

Michael McAleer
University of Western Australia
Michael.McAleer@uwa.edu.au

5 - 9 May 2004

- Dynamic leverage and threshold effects in stochastic volatility models (Symposium)
  Paper: PDF....

Paul McNelis
Georgetown University
mcnelisp@georgetown.edu

1 - 22 May 2004

- A comparison of U.S. and Hong Kong cap-floor volatility dynamics
  Paper: PDF....

Yasutomo Murasawa
Osaka Prefecture University
murasawa@eco.osakafu-u.ac.jp

18 - 24 Apr 2004

- Constructing a coincident index of business cycles without assuming a one-factor model
  Paper: PDF....

Roel Oomen
University of Warwick
roel.oomen@wbs.ac.uk

6 - 10 May 2004

- Properties of realized variance for pure jump processes: calendar time sampling versus business time sampling (Symposium)
  Paper1: PDF...        Paper2: PDF...       Presentation: PDF...

Gamini Premaratne
National University of Singapore
gamini@nus.edu.sg

5 Apr - 22 May 2004

- Stock market volatility: examining North America, Europe and Asia
  Paper: PDF....

Edward Robinson
Monetary Authority of Singapore
edward@mas.gov.sg

5 Apr - 22 May 2004

 

Jeffrey Russell
University of Chicago
jeffrey.russell@gsb.uchicago.edu

2 - 9 May 2004

- Econometric analysis of high-frequency financial data  (Tutorial Lecture)
  Presentation: PDF....
- Full-information transaction costs (Symposium)
  Paper: PDF....       Presentation: PPT...

Anthony Tay
Singapore Management University
anthonytay@smu.edu.sg

5 Apr - 22 May 2004

 

Yiu Kuen Tse
Singapore Management University
yktse@smu.edu.sg

5 Apr - 22 May 2004

 

Kenneth Wallis
University of Warwick
K.F.Wallis@warwick.ac.uk

29 Apr - 8 May 2004

- Forecast uncertainty, its representation and evaluation (Tutorial Lecture)
  Outline and references: PDF...
- An assessment of Bank of England and National Institute inflation forecast uncertainties (Symposium)
  Paper: PDF....

Kenneth D. West
University of Wisconsin
kdwest@wisc.edu

6 - 9 May 2004

Using out-of-sample mean squared prediction errors to test the martingale difference hypothesis (Symposium)
  Paper: PDF....       Appendix: PDF...        Presentation: PDF...

Wing-Keung Wong
National University of Singapore
ecswwk@nus.edu.sg

5 Apr - 22 May 2004

 

Baosheng Yuan
National University of Singapore
baosheng@cz3.nus.edu.sg

5 Apr - 22 May 2004

- Statistical analysis of high frequency financial data and modeling of financial time series
  Presentation: PPT....

GRADUATE STUDENTS

   

Wu Jie
National University of Singapore g0201929@nus.edu.sg

5 Apr - 22 May 2004

- Intraday periodicity, long memory volatility, and macroeconomic announcement effects on China Treasury bond market
  Paper: PDF....

Yi-Chiung Lin
University of London
yi-chiung@hotmail.com

12 Apr - 22 May 2004

 

Hua Wen
National University of Singapore
g0201944@nus.edu.sg

5 Apr - 22 May 2004

 

John Williams
University of Oxford
john.williams@chch.ox.ac.uk

4 Apr - 22 May 2004

 

Filip Žikeš
Charles University in Prague, Czech Republic
zikesf@yahoo.com

25 Apr - 7 May 2004

 

 

Organizers · Confirmed Visitors · Overview · Activities · Membership Application